Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38d6c6282bca622e0b563c6cf297fdf3663c1c36452ab482c90b7a3392b8a08a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Ohio State Buckeyes, Penn State Nittany Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 74c | 851.41$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 695.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 577$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 73c | 536.44$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 73c | 502.61$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 21c | 395.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 367.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 15c | 353.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 342.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 74c | 304.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 73c | 247.28$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 198.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 28c | 198.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 74c | 168.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 75c | 158.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 72c | 149.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 12c | 136.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 13c | 109.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 92.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 75c | 82.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 76.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 24c | 70.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 70.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 69.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 63.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 25c | 61.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 20c | 60.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 57.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 41.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 76c | 41.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 76c | 39.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 74c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 74c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 76c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsthis page
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 152.5Over won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.