Tennis · resolved market
Tauson vs. Kessler: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c7cd635eda87479d95c27a85f4d5c6b34008b38f8733f59b4122a04ad1e20c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 74c | 2,691$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.64 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 26c | 2,056$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 26c | 301.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 32c | 83.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tauson vs. Kessler: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5this page
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Clara Tauson vs McCartney KesslerTauson won
- Set 1 Winner: Tauson vs KesslerTauson won
- Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Kessler (+1.5)Tauson won
- Tauson vs. Kessler: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Tauson vs. Kessler: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Tauson vs. Kessler: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Tauson vs. Kessler: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.