Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. Virginia Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2363264104677be550985c8e85bc9d7e437574545a52607cfd97c451eb5fdd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Cavaliersof Syracuse Orange, Virginia Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse Orange | 2c | 5,347$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Syracuse Orange | 18c | 3,983$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange | 8c | 3,233$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Syracuse Orange | 10c | 2,362$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Syracuse Orange | 17c | 1,501$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 1,171$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Syracuse Orange | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Syracuse Orange | 10c | 673.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 476$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Syracuse Orange | 8c | 356.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Syracuse Orange | 12c | 353.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Syracuse Orange | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Syracuse Orange | 11c | 271.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Syracuse Orange | 12c | 248.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Syracuse Orange | 11c | 244.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed Syracuse Orange | 12c | 220.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Syracuse Orange | 12c | 217.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Syracuse Orange | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Syracuse Orange | 14c | 191$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Syracuse Orange | 11c | 179.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Syracuse Orange | 11c | 148.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Syracuse Orange | 13c | 144.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Syracuse Orange | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse Orange vs. Virginia Cavaliersthis page
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-12.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 146.5Under won
- Syracuse Orange vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.