Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a02713044d4eeecbcd46b1d183fc84fe84e03ad6348e0e832b273aad5c33ba7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Wagner Seahawks, Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Wagner Seahawks | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Wagner Seahawks | 32c | 891.45$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 63c | 854.05$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 68c | 585.16$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 32c | 544.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Wagner Seahawks | 31c | 145.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 71c | 141.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wagner Seahawks | 32c | 139.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 70c | 111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 70c | 88.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 28c | 85.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 70c | 85.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Wagner Seahawks | 22c | 70.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wagner Seahawks | 29c | 49.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wagner Seahawks | 32c | 39.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wagner Seahawks | 27c | 39.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wagner Seahawks | 33c | 36.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 66c | 29.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 79c | 24.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 70c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077a…ec51backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsthis page
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-5.5)Central Connecticut State Blue Devils won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 136.5Over won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 137.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.