Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1266ac7e68b3f72462c94a8fc982dc26421b529bc379eefd75eeca1ee9df370e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Connecticut State Blue Devilsof Central Connecticut State Blue Devils, Wagner Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 52c | 5,401$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 1,282$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 47c | 1,007$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 51c | 987.08$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.41 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 910$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 615$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 79.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 72.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 49c | 64.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Central Connecticut State Blue Devils | 48c | 57.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Central Connecticut State Blue Devils (-5.5)this page
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue DevilsCentral Connecticut State Blue Devils won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 136.5Over won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils: O/U 137.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.