TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The Citadel Bulldogsof The Citadel Bulldogs, Chattanooga Mocs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7e5…2d3abacked The Citadel Bulldogs22c3,393$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.1325130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Chattanooga Mocs62c1,541$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.872,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6756…8edcbacked The Citadel Bulldogs28c1,268$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.863023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked The Citadel Bulldogs26c1,119$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.61,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chattanooga Mocs58c1,072$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.615,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Chattanooga Mocs72c1,069$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.123,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…4e2ebacked Chattanooga Mocs50c1,020$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.298544.7%38 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chattanooga Mocs78c968.29$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.812,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked The Citadel Bulldogs48c903.32$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.591,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Chattanooga Mocs60c781.56$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.522941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked The Citadel Bulldogs17c612.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chattanooga Mocs67c561.47$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.951,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Chattanooga Mocs48c506.73$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9638345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked The Citadel Bulldogs24c481.23$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.184,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Chattanooga Mocs24c443$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.023330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Chattanooga Mocs67c298.07$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Chattanooga Mocs19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Chattanooga Mocs54c244.44$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.211,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Chattanooga Mocs78c212.75$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Chattanooga Mocs59c210$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.311,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Chattanooga Mocs66c197.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed The Citadel Bulldogs48c169.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.421,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Chattanooga Mocs79c167.97$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Chattanooga Mocs51c164$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Chattanooga Mocs52c138$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7622157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed The Citadel Bulldogs19c135.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5618230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Chattanooga Mocs41c126.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5415733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Citadel Bulldogs27c105.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Chattanooga Mocs76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7636942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed The Citadel Bulldogs21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2425230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed The Citadel Bulldogs19c92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9729012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Chattanooga Mocs65c83.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.045637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chattanooga Mocs76c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked The Citadel Bulldogs40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4522656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Chattanooga Mocs39c69.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.341,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked The Citadel Bulldogs49c61.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.051,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked The Citadel Bulldogs19c59.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.442,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Chattanooga Mocs63c51.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc12…05f2backed The Citadel Bulldogs20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked The Citadel Bulldogs20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4017634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Chattanooga Mocs71c43.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.683956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Chattanooga Mocs77c39.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked The Citadel Bulldogs30c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked The Citadel Bulldogs39c30.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Chattanooga Mocs67c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0730945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed The Citadel Bulldogs44c23.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.141,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Chattanooga Mocs77c20.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.813651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked The Citadel Bulldogs76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.810095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Chattanooga Mocs64c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8412540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.