Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de7f843403cc7edeed79d42cec461fc8e968acfb56222caa986bf1f064393b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 53c | 50,728$26,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,848.55 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 23,365$10,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,664.21 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,074.5 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 48c | 11,062$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,272.81 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 54c | 8,890$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.27 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,511$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 55c | 4,269$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.95 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 46c | 3,107$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.28 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 1,754$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.84 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 46c | 1,493$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.71 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Under | 45c | 545.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 46c | 320.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 55c | 245.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 222.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 209.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 194.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 47c | 54.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 53.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 55c | 48.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Over | 55c | 45.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 47c | 25.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 47c | 23.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 140.5this page
- Spread: Chattanooga Mocs (-9.5)The Citadel Bulldogs won
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga MocsThe Citadel Bulldogs won
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 138.5Over won
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 139.5Over won
- The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.