TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Quinnipiac Bobcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Quinnipiac Bobcatsof Niagara Purple Eagles, Quinnipiac Bobcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x359f…fa80backed Niagara Purple Eagles5c1,300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.82611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6756…8edcbacked Niagara Purple Eagles18c1,060$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.63023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Niagara Purple Eagles2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles9c999.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Niagara Purple Eagles5c826.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.83496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats66c742.58$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.155,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Niagara Purple Eagles11c681.82$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Niagara Purple Eagles32c584.08$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.573,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Niagara Purple Eagles33c536.8$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.281,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Quinnipiac Bobcats59c380$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6214643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Niagara Purple Eagles46c297.63$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.41,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Niagara Purple Eagles9c230$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.721443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Niagara Purple Eagles10c229$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.918230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc916…2ee5backed Niagara Purple Eagles13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles8c187.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Quinnipiac Bobcats56c140.23$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.891,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Niagara Purple Eagles14c123.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.321,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Niagara Purple Eagles13c104$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.522,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc12…05f2backed Niagara Purple Eagles10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed Niagara Purple Eagles15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Niagara Purple Eagles15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Quinnipiac Bobcats53c98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.82,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Quinnipiac Bobcats71c83.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Quinnipiac Bobcats64c78.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.371,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Niagara Purple Eagles15c67.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles63c66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.521,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats64c64.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.865637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats68c56.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Niagara Purple Eagles29c47.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e4…ec34backed Niagara Purple Eagles50c40.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Niagara Purple Eagles43c40.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.343,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Quinnipiac Bobcats71c39$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.152,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Quinnipiac Bobcats68c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.163,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Niagara Purple Eagles49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.842552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.