Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14acf2a3e103c99d1c9bcdc6a33ca5abd33cc66a9ad03373f8586f638cbd8e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof Virginia Tech Hokies, North Carolina State Wolfpack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 18c | 6,236$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.86 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 18c | 4,167$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 23c | 2,217$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 17c | 1,069$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 20c | 1,044$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 14c | 654.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 16c | 641.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 5c | 522.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 18c | 427$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 19c | 105.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…2ee5backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…f17dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 18c | 81.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 18c | 59.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 67c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackthis page
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-9.5)Virginia Tech Hokies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.