Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee5acae52ae3c9e4f537b4f091caa75f1dd316e77a3ff198535222f2cc4e859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginia Tech Hokiesof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Virginia Tech Hokies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 56c | 7,256$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,082.88 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 43c | 4,360$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 3,802$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 47c | 2,944$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.45 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 40c | 1,821$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.87 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 707.84$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 49c | 509.15$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 200.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…b908backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 44.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 42c | 34.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 25.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Virginia Tech Hokies | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Virginia Tech Hokies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-9.5)this page
- Virginia Tech Hokies vs. North Carolina State WolfpackNorth Carolina State Wolfpack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.