Stocks · resolved market
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $142 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d87a7b5e4ad6be4e289a291bcdcb9ba2b875e834f185549b7234b7fc24cc54b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 48c | 517.28$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 72c | 464.34$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 78c | 384.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 70c | 162.31$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…d05ebacked Yes | 23c | 161.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 54c | 158.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed Yes | 28c | 152.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…6b3bbacked No | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…e975backed No | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…6a41backed No | 46c | 136$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…b4a4backed No | 46c | 135$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…daecbacked Yes | 26c | 133.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…5142backed No | 46c | 132$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc4…b6dcbacked No | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…3b68backed No | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16f…7967backed No | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…7f80backed No | 46c | 128$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…1eadbacked No | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe144…b1afbacked No | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c7…1e53backed No | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…88efbacked No | 46c | 124$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…f755backed No | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…a9abbacked No | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc9…3758backed Yes | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…15edbacked Yes | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ce…5f8ebacked Yes | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…7a51backed Yes | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…4090backed Yes | 54c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…0afebacked Yes | 54c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2d…5025backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…d973backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…018abacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…65fbbacked Yes | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…0798backed Yes | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…2406backed Yes | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…5122backed Yes | 54c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2726…db23backed Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6c…086dbacked Yes | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…bdd4backed Yes | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4717…e99cbacked Yes | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…1aa4backed Yes | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…7af7backed Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…f497backed Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d2…5d6cbacked Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…2137backed Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1558…fea4backed Yes | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…9699backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b05…8f48backed Yes | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked Yes | 61c | 52.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ba…7856backed No | 35c | 42.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 69c | 42.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…50e0backed No | 37c | 39.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 28c | 39.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked No | 33c | 38.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…77d7backed Yes | 35c | 33.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 27.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 43c | 23.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…8f7fbacked Yes | 45c | 22.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f10fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $142 end of February?this page
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $140 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $146 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $148 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $150 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $152 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $154 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $156 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $158 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $160 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $162 end of February?No won
- Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $164 end of February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.