Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Old Dominion Monarchs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9b1e43afd5743d376a14d275ebeacd412e3033394736be6b1c450318c76f21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marshall Thundering Herdof Marshall Thundering Herd, Old Dominion Monarchs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 4,887$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.94 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 43c | 2,592$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 2,409$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.74 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 2,353$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.43 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 39c | 1,517$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 75c | 1,419$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.51 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 58c | 915.07$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.33 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 38c | 873.23$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 42c | 748.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 67c | 709$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 39c | 639.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.21 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 48c | 605.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 58c | 561.2$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 46c | 512.86$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 43c | 499.27$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 26c | 414.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.29 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 77c | 397.88$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.92 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 71c | 395$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.85 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 350$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 289$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 27c | 274.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.56 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 52c | 263.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 57c | 244.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 59c | 240.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 34c | 237.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 11c | 232.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 21c | 205.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 42c | 199.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 41c | 192.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 76c | 190$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 182.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 42c | 161.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 26c | 136.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 134.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 40c | 102.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 45c | 99.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 69.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 49c | 61.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 39c | 56.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 65c | 48.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 48c | 46.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 41.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 68c | 40.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 65c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 56c | 21.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Old Dominion Monarchsthis page
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 154.5Over won
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 156.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-2.5)Old Dominion Monarchs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.