NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa4de8a9b4e54d9b2fe952948bb078c4e2604934243af1c7e564ad1dd3b4dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Dinamo Minsk, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 26c | 987.08$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.51 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 863.13$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.81 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 27c | 156.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 27c | 106$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.38 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 29c | 76.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Dinamo Minsk | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dinamo Minsk | 74c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…102ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 50.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Dinamo Minsk | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dinamo Minsk | 71c | 47.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…dac9backed Dinamo Minsk | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c79…ea52backed Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 73c | 24.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…759ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Dinamo Minsk | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.