Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7dcfe610fcf32dc12cb1a190e77214595e3097861e99d439ad7ae4680891fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toledo Rocketsof Toledo Rockets, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 38c | 5,242$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Toledo Rockets | 66c | 2,898$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.9 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Toledo Rockets | 65c | 2,682$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.85 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 39c | 2,444$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.27 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toledo Rockets | 66c | 1,412$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.56 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toledo Rockets | 65c | 1,251$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 28c | 1,013$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.39 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Toledo Rockets | 61c | 970.5$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.66 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Toledo Rockets | 65c | 865.74$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.11 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toledo Rockets | 65c | 862.03$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Western Michigan Broncos | 37c | 643.09$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.13 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Western Michigan Broncos | 23c | 621.84$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Western Michigan Broncos | 40c | 569.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Toledo Rockets | 70c | 519$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 21c | 507.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Toledo Rockets | 64c | 380$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 21c | 257.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Toledo Rockets | 66c | 221.93$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toledo Rockets | 70c | 166.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Toledo Rockets | 78c | 117.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 42c | 102.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toledo Rockets | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Western Michigan Broncos | 28c | 99.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 91.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21f…9e58backed Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Western Michigan Broncos | 28c | 71.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 28c | 64.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 61.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…0e8cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 27c | 59.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Western Michigan Broncos | 35c | 56.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Toledo Rockets | 56c | 54.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Toledo Rockets | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Toledo Rockets | 73c | 45.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 30c | 41.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Western Michigan Broncos | 28c | 41.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Western Michigan Broncos | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Toledo Rockets | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…82acbacked Toledo Rockets | 77c | 31.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Toledo Rockets | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Toledo Rockets | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Toledo Rockets | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…4655backed Toledo Rockets | 74c | 20.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad5…8a5ebacked Toledo Rockets | 74c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…83a2backed Toledo Rockets | 74c | 18.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncosthis page
- Spread: Toledo Rockets (-6.5)Toledo Rockets won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 154.5Over won
- Toledo Rockets vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.