Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Brown Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417d5a8594b91f713708aba2f0d4f323beec4796b33652b9396e7cbfeb3921b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dartmouth Big Greenof Dartmouth Big Green, Brown Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brown Bears | 33c | 5,058$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.1 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Dartmouth Big Green | 75c | 2,036$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.63 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Brown Bears | 42c | 1,387$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.69 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Brown Bears | 29c | 1,373$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dartmouth Big Green | 68c | 1,069$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.22 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 68c | 1,039$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.24 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brown Bears | 42c | 1,021$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.93 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brown Bears | 24c | 770.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 64c | 670.21$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dartmouth Big Green | 64c | 553.42$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Brown Bears | 42c | 530$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brown Bears | 32c | 433.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…cf1bbacked Brown Bears | 27c | 371.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 68c | 368.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Brown Bears | 27c | 344.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Brown Bears | 27c | 305.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Dartmouth Big Green | 61c | 294.69$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…50d9backed Dartmouth Big Green | 54c | 280$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Brown Bears | 37c | 271.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Brown Bears | 61c | 255.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brown Bears | 32c | 252.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dartmouth Big Green | 69c | 219.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Brown Bears | 6c | 188.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Brown Bears | 27c | 174.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Brown Bears | 8c | 165.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 67c | 162$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Dartmouth Big Green | 63c | 129.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Brown Bears | 54c | 111.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 106.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Brown Bears | 35c | 100.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…b224backed Brown Bears | 25c | 98.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Brown Bears | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Brown Bears | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e39…0286backed Dartmouth Big Green | 69c | 79.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Brown Bears | 17c | 68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Brown Bears | 31c | 65.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Dartmouth Big Green | 69c | 64.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Dartmouth Big Green | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Dartmouth Big Green | 69c | 52.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Brown Bears | 42c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 29c | 43.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 77c | 40.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dartmouth Big Green | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 45c | 38.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Dartmouth Big Green | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Brown Bears | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Brown Bears | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Brown Bears | 31c | 33.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Brown Bears | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Brown Bears | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Dartmouth Big Green | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed Dartmouth Big Green | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Brown Bears | 39c | 26.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 67c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 71c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 74c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.