Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Evansville Aces vs. Drake Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec517501ef23778263a43940ab8b89d61c10fa9b3df15740bf286776a12bf60a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drake Bulldogsof Evansville Aces, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs | 27c | 3,238$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Evansville Aces | 44c | 2,513$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.37 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Evansville Aces | 12c | 1,835$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 1,200$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drake Bulldogs | 13c | 853.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…8e58backed Drake Bulldogs | 52c | 580$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Evansville Aces | 51c | 515.24$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Drake Bulldogs | 74c | 514.36$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Drake Bulldogs | 21c | 438$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.16 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Evansville Aces | 80c | 353.31$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 308.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 80c | 302.77$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Evansville Aces | 19c | 296.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Evansville Aces | 64c | 293$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Evansville Aces | 79c | 291.14$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Evansville Aces | 26c | 285.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 69c | 285.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Evansville Aces | 79c | 267.04$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Evansville Aces | 35c | 243$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Evansville Aces | 72c | 242$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.24 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Evansville Aces | 76c | 236$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Evansville Aces | 23c | 210.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Drake Bulldogs | 22c | 209.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Evansville Aces | 73c | 208$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 195.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Drake Bulldogs | 30c | 181.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Evansville Aces | 73c | 137.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Evansville Aces | 18c | 117.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Evansville Aces | 28c | 106.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Drake Bulldogs | 67c | 103.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Evansville Aces | 51c | 102.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Evansville Aces | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Evansville Aces | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…210ebacked Evansville Aces | 49c | 97.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Drake Bulldogs | 46c | 92.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…e762backed Evansville Aces | 68c | 83.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Evansville Aces | 20c | 80.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Drake Bulldogs | 26c | 75.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Evansville Aces | 49c | 73.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Evansville Aces | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed Drake Bulldogs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Evansville Aces | 37c | 63.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Evansville Aces | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 67c | 57.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa523…d782backed Evansville Aces | 73c | 54.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Drake Bulldogs | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Evansville Aces | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Evansville Aces | 73c | 49.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Drake Bulldogs | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Evansville Aces | 58c | 41.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Evansville Aces | 64c | 32.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Evansville Aces | 55c | 31.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Drake Bulldogs | 80c | 29.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Evansville Aces | 74c | 25.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Drake Bulldogs | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Drake Bulldogs | 77c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Evansville Aces vs. Drake Bulldogsthis page
- Evansville Aces vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.