Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf318f3e577338c6b3f14400020e2e5ad0df944df7b9330d3101930e56e0ea78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolina Piratesof East Carolina Pirates, North Texas Mean Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed North Texas Mean Green | 1c | 7,611$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed North Texas Mean Green | 25c | 7,101$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked East Carolina Pirates | 68c | 4,298$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.29 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed East Carolina Pirates | 74c | 3,152$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed North Texas Mean Green | 21c | 2,700$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.69 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked North Texas Mean Green | 14c | 2,141$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Texas Mean Green | 69c | 944.46$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.55 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c60…9c5ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 3c | 700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked East Carolina Pirates | 38c | 508.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed East Carolina Pirates | 73c | 303.23$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 9c | 255.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…19b3backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 216.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…01b9backed East Carolina Pirates | 66c | 216.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 199$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…e277backed North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 145.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d39…27f7backed East Carolina Pirates | 65c | 145.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188f…60d4backed East Carolina Pirates | 66c | 143.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…0e8fbacked North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 143.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f5…f5b5backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 137.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…6a89backed East Carolina Pirates | 66c | 137.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…8051backed North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 133.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…7e74backed North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 129.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d4…9b2dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 12c | 113.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…ab85backed East Carolina Pirates | 66c | 110.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2be…feebbacked North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 110.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…078dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 103.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…4b96backed North Texas Mean Green | 10c | 102.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…05bbbacked East Carolina Pirates | 65c | 100.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…6053backed North Texas Mean Green | 35c | 100.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…a42ebacked North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…c568backed North Texas Mean Green | 34c | 97.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…0384backed East Carolina Pirates | 66c | 97.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…ddffbacked North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 95.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…0152backed North Texas Mean Green | 28c | 92.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…4725backed East Carolina Pirates | 73c | 92.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed North Texas Mean Green | 22c | 92.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…25c4backed North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 80.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed North Texas Mean Green | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Texas Mean Green | 80c | 15.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.