Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Oliver Crawford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf11ae1855a07e8df682377a20121b0430caf3de287b71acda9a3373757a8b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Alex Molcan, Oliver Crawford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Oliver Crawford | 58c | 4,726$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.47 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…3641backed Oliver Crawford | 50c | 4,003$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Oliver Crawford | 11c | 3,500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Molcan | 61c | 2,874$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Molcan | 66c | 2,314$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.72 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Molcan | 68c | 1,748$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.66 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Alex Molcan | 55c | 1,604$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.59 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Oliver Crawford | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Oliver Crawford | 34c | 1,193$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Oliver Crawford | 22c | 1,181$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.66 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Crawford | 31c | 1,039$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Oliver Crawford | 24c | 1,037$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Oliver Crawford | 47c | 1,007$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.15 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alex Molcan | 53c | 1,005$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.43 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…833ebacked Oliver Crawford | 47c | 791.49$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Molcan | 67c | 777.17$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Alex Molcan | 80c | 762.84$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Alex Molcan | 79c | 754.92$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Alex Molcan | 70c | 710$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Alex Molcan | 58c | 685.38$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.96 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Molcan | 63c | 610.27$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Alex Molcan | 54c | 556.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Oliver Crawford | 50c | 519.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Oliver Crawford | 24c | 518.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Oliver Crawford | 29c | 512.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Oliver Crawford | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Oliver Crawford | 34c | 493.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Oliver Crawford | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Alex Molcan | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Oliver Crawford | 25c | 374.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…adfdbacked Alex Molcan | 76c | 360.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Alex Molcan | 56c | 299.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Molcan | 66c | 252.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Oliver Crawford | 39c | 249.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Alex Molcan | 67c | 222.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Oliver Crawford | 23c | 212.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alex Molcan | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Alex Molcan | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Alex Molcan | 57c | 165.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Molcan | 72c | 157.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Oliver Crawford | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oliver Crawford | 29c | 144.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Oliver Crawford | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Alex Molcan | 52c | 141.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Oliver Crawford | 50c | 140.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Oliver Crawford | 45c | 127.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Oliver Crawford | 26c | 125.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Alex Molcan | 80c | 125.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Alex Molcan | 54c | 115.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Oliver Crawford | 34c | 109.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Oliver Crawford | 24c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Oliver Crawford | 54c | 101.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Oliver Crawford | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Oliver Crawford | 29c | 99.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Alex Molcan | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…8fabbacked Alex Molcan | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oliver Crawford | 26c | 88.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Alex Molcan | 77c | 76.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Alex Molcan | 80c | 74.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Alex Molcan | 53c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Oliver Crawford | 60c | 73.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Alex Molcan | 69c | 71.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oliver Crawford | 23c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Alex Molcan | 50c | 68.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed Oliver Crawford | 46c | 61.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Oliver Crawford | 26c | 53.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Oliver Crawford | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Alex Molcan | 70c | 37.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Alex Molcan | 49c | 30.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 474 | 31.9%151 W · 323 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Alex Molcan | 76c | 30.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Oliver Crawford | 40c | 29.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alex Molcan | 39c | 29.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Alex Molcan | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Alex Molcan | 53c | 27.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Alex Molcan | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Alex Molcan | 48c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…0e3abacked Alex Molcan | 78c | 22.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Alex Molcan | 51c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Alex Molcan | 52c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Alex Molcan | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Alex Molcan | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…e183backed Alex Molcan | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Alex Molcan | 53c | 18.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Oliver Crawfordthis page
- Set Handicap: Molcan (-1.5) vs Crawford (+1.5)Crawford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.