College Football · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennessee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f8923c66db7a22408357f63018dc62ccfe3462caca3b4c3bae136dcc935503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middle Tennesseeof Sam Houston Bearkats, Middle Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 4,289$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.41 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee | 68c | 2,174$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.53 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Middle Tennessee | 69c | 1,982$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.31 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Middle Tennessee | 68c | 1,698$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.28 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 1,647$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.04 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Middle Tennessee | 68c | 1,327$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.49 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Middle Tennessee | 71c | 985.29$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.88 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Middle Tennessee | 68c | 586.75$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Middle Tennessee | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 299.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Middle Tennessee | 72c | 270.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 30c | 261.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Middle Tennessee | 68c | 223.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 18c | 219.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Middle Tennessee | 62c | 199.24$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Middle Tennessee | 68c | 172$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Middle Tennessee | 40c | 149.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Middle Tennessee | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Middle Tennessee | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Middle Tennessee | 69c | 94.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Middle Tennessee | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Middle Tennessee | 68c | 69.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…8bf7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Middle Tennessee | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 59c | 46.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…f4febacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 23c | 45.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Middle Tennessee | 56c | 38.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…1de6backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.45per pick | 56cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Middle Tennessee | 68c | 34.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a858backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Middle Tennessee | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Middle Tennessee | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Middle Tennessee | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Middle Tennessee | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Middle Tennessee | 63c | 25.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Middle Tennessee | 73c | 24.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Middle Tennessee | 69c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…d4dbbacked Middle Tennessee | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Middle Tennesseethis page
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Spread: Middle Tennessee (-6.5)Middle Tennessee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.