Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colgate Raiders vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e74b42c5333c52e563783b54ad4a6dadbae21de9a8f9b502ae47f812f3e681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lehigh Mountain Hawksof Colgate Raiders, Lehigh Mountain Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4266…a06dbacked Colgate Raiders | 10c | 1,700$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colgate Raiders | 65c | 1,140$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 38c | 1,057$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.69 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 1,010$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Colgate Raiders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Colgate Raiders | 6c | 800$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Colgate Raiders | 7c | 800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 44c | 764.28$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.52 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 37c | 455.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.24 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Colgate Raiders | 41c | 426.88$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.23 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colgate Raiders | 57c | 363.63$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 37c | 318.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ce61backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 38c | 263.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Colgate Raiders | 70c | 190$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Colgate Raiders | 9c | 183$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colgate Raiders | 55c | 155.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 42c | 134.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 79c | 116.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed Colgate Raiders | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Colgate Raiders | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 39c | 96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Colgate Raiders | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Colgate Raiders | 60c | 81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Colgate Raiders | 58c | 68.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colgate Raiders | 65c | 62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 51c | 55.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Colgate Raiders | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Colgate Raiders | 60c | 48.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colgate Raiders | 57c | 47.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Colgate Raiders | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Colgate Raiders | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Colgate Raiders | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Colgate Raiders | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…e0fbbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 43c | 23.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 55c | 21.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colgate Raiders vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksthis page
- Spread: Colgate Raiders (-3.5)Lehigh Mountain Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.