TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Harvard Crimson vs. Brown Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Harvard Crimsonof Harvard Crimson, Brown Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5f9…ee5fbacked Brown Bears42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11a…a2fdbacked Harvard Crimson58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Brown Bears42c1,808$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.125,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Harvard Crimson68c1,550$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.133,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b42…bac4backed Harvard Crimson58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…2bf1backed Harvard Crimson58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brown Bears3c1,371$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.854,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Harvard Crimson72c833.97$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.615,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Brown Bears14c812.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5110126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Harvard Crimson55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2716350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Brown Bears22c593.37$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.981,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Harvard Crimson72c452.41$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.152,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Harvard Crimson54c449.03$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.561764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Harvard Crimson54c418$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.282,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Brown Bears43c402.45$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.082,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Brown Bears42c387.71$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Harvard Crimson70c360.67$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.951,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed91…8ce8backed Brown Bears6c299.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Brown Bears47c276.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d1…a379backed Harvard Crimson57c263.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.415457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c46…67d9backed Brown Bears47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332c…3d15backed Brown Bears47c255$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Brown Bears36c246.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8766831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb308…c258backed Harvard Crimson53c245$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…6206backed Harvard Crimson53c240.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Brown Bears45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69c…730cbacked Harvard Crimson53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0150…54debacked Harvard Crimson53c239$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe358…a571backed Brown Bears47c230$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Harvard Crimson54c222$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e3…56aebacked Brown Bears47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Brown Bears46c217.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Harvard Crimson63c216.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Harvard Crimson61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2819238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Harvard Crimson61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Brown Bears14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281157%8 W · 107 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Brown Bears8c195.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1557335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Harvard Crimson55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8248462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Brown Bears45c181.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.824,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Brown Bears46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e82…47d5backed Brown Bears29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Harvard Crimson78c116.63$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.111,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Harvard Crimson55c115.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1413550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Brown Bears21c111.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Brown Bears36c110.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brown Bears41c100.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.542,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Brown Bears39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fb…9ec1backed Brown Bears47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4760%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Brown Bears46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4634947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…d0f5backed Brown Bears23c99.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Harvard Crimson56c73.39$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3915055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9456…44b1backed Brown Bears37c70.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-45.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Harvard Crimson61c68.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.881,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Harvard Crimson58c68.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Brown Bears47c65.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.981,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Brown Bears45c60.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9d9dbacked Brown Bears20c57.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ac…e753backed Brown Bears30c56.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Brown Bears47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Harvard Crimson69c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3722050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Harvard Crimson74c52.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Harvard Crimson69c52.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Brown Bears46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Harvard Crimson66c47.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.119134.1%31 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa30b…8c41backed Harvard Crimson74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Harvard Crimson53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb038…ff5fbacked Brown Bears39c37.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Brown Bears46c36.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.736844.1%30 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Harvard Crimson60c35.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2445953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a74…c3e4backed Harvard Crimson58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51dd…c727backed Brown Bears37c34.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Brown Bears39c34.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8d…55c5backed Harvard Crimson71c33.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.641266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Brown Bears43c33.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2119332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Harvard Crimson54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Brown Bears40c29.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Harvard Crimson53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.336248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Harvard Crimson54c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5410043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Harvard Crimson57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Brown Bears47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2810464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Harvard Crimson58c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Harvard Crimson54c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7315066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a3e…4c45backed Harvard Crimson60c20.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed Harvard Crimson61c20.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.112065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Harvard Crimson66c17.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9325239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.