Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Harvard Crimson vs. Brown Bears: O/U 133.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6402dcbaf20142778ff6ffcb83520b6ca3ee2c4fb112cafd0e78e37509192f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 29,934$14,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,669.25 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 7,389$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,658.14 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,393$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 3,741$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.56 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 3,388$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.91 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 51c | 3,261$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 51c | 2,440$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 2,236$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 2,170$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.8 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 45c | 711.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 396.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 269.77$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 57c | 255.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 51c | 192.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 52c | 188.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 51c | 176.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 152.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 109.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 49c | 93.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Over | 70c | 71.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 56.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 49c | 45.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 52c | 44.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…ed39backed Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 29.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harvard Crimson vs. Brown Bears: O/U 133.5this page
- Harvard Crimson vs. Brown BearsHarvard Crimson won
- Spread: Harvard Crimson (-1.5)Harvard Crimson won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.