Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817cad158c1194cd7ff9182af84989763cdfd8d0767c3fbe44ee8aa5a80fd70f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sachkoof Shevchenko, Sachko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sachko | 35c | 865.14$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.6 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Shevchenko | 65c | 715.38$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed Shevchenko | 31c | 651.61$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Shevchenko | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sachko | 66c | 359.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Sachko | 69c | 337.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Sachko | 59c | 267.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Shevchenko | 42c | 258.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Shevchenko | 47c | 229.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shevchenko | 34c | 213.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shevchenko | 25c | 207.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sachko | 49c | 182.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Shevchenko | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Shevchenko | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Shevchenko | 54c | 117.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Shevchenko | 41c | 48.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…2dccbacked Sachko | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.