WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca27040b428ef97f9f2a370eec7241d863cc1c38ee6f7cb176c5d3c0fe1a434b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 4,468$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 2,069$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.37 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 48c | 1,200$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 52c | 948.43$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 48c | 860.42$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.42 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 368.84$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 51c | 316.21$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 163.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 55c | 148.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 65.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…10fcbacked Under | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 49c | 47.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 53c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 50c | 25.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 24.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Under | 51c | 21.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 51c | 19.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 177.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix MercuryLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 174.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 175.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.