College Football · resolved market
East Carolina vs. Temple
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28b751213bb53b9d21ce21d7db08cee4c6259fb80697c7a2bb606a40c5bd045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolinaof East Carolina, Temple
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed East Carolina | 67c | 154,656$103,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,196.54 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Temple | 33c | 41,847$13,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,809.46 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Temple | 33c | 25,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Temple | 35c | 25,000$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.99 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Temple | 33c | 17,639$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.82 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Temple | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Temple | 33c | 8,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Temple | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Temple | 33c | 4,928$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.24 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Temple | 33c | 3,336$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.07 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked East Carolina | 65c | 2,366$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.16 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Temple | 20c | 2,256$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Temple | 34c | 2,112$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.08 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed East Carolina | 64c | 2,031$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Temple | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Temple | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed East Carolina | 66c | 1,817$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa861…8ec4backed Temple | 35c | 1,817$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Temple | 34c | 1,800$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.61 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Temple | 33c | 1,745$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.7 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Temple | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Temple | 33c | 1,293$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.69 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked East Carolina | 65c | 1,189$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.06 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Temple | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Temple | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Temple | 5c | 550$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Temple | 12c | 523.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked Temple | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Temple | 6c | 335$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked East Carolina | 65c | 279$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Temple | 36c | 190.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked East Carolina | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked East Carolina | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Temple | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Temple | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…9284backed Temple | 34c | 138.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…2ea7backed East Carolina | 66c | 92.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked East Carolina | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…13b7backed East Carolina | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed East Carolina | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Temple | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed East Carolina | 65c | 62.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked East Carolina | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Temple | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…cabfbacked Temple | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fe…0736backed Temple | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Temple | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…e313backed East Carolina | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…4c9fbacked East Carolina | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…4ce2backed East Carolina | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Carolina vs. Templethis page
- East Carolina vs. Temple: O/U 58.5Over won
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: East Carolina (-4.5)East Carolina won
- Spread: East Carolina (-5.5)East Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.