TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Sabres, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…0a01backed Sabres32c69,229$21,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,968.6621652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Hurricanes68c50,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,0001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes69c8,995$6,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.4570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres9c8,056$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.41,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes69c6,159$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.4247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Hurricanes69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Sabres32c2,539$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.9640550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes69c1,785$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.412,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes75c1,606$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.942,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Sabres10c1,200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.933837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes69c1,141$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0752…afadbacked Sabres30c1,100$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e48…c23bbacked Sabres4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405420.4%11 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Hurricanes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31016743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres30c986$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Hurricanes68c897.25$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.127100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+96.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Sabres32c881.36$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.033946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres31c881.35$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Sabres31c881.35$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.223652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Sabres31c745$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9515954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres29c650.22$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2154047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Sabres31c647$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3730848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Sabres24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14420137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7b8…6631backed Hurricanes70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Sabres31c578.65$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3814848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Sabres29c566.15$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1819942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Hurricanes69c554.85$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6237847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…da3ebacked Hurricanes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Sabres8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Sabres30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Hurricanes69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7823653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Hurricanes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.545141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Hurricanes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5445447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Sabres31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Hurricanes68c363.65$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3730152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Hurricanes68c363.3$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Hurricanes70c338$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.44443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sabres33c334.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.493953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Hurricanes68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9638857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes67c299.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hurricanes70c285$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Hurricanes70c273$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c1…b4afbacked Sabres31c255$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.052544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres21c240.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Hurricanes70c237.91$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3741246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Sabres35c236.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7623741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Hurricanes71c221.13$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1322051.4%113 W · 107 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Hurricanes70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.293148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Sabres29c203.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0175946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Sabres6c181$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7860141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Sabres32c163$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1684953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Sabres30c160$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.218750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5285148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Hurricanes71c147.83$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8716346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c29…5e43backed Hurricanes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f43…c3d8backed Hurricanes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Hurricanes71c141$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417471.6%53 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc585…d55fbacked Sabres31c135.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed Sabres30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Sabres31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Sabres15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Sabres31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Sabres49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498943.8%39 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Sabres49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d5…6438backed Sabres21c95.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes66c85.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.981,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…b4e6backed Sabres22c81.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Sabres31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259745.4%44 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48dd…1d79backed Sabres32c76.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.46850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Hurricanes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4322555.1%124 W · 101 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Hurricanes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4222949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5abb…061bbacked Sabres32c69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0818148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Sabres31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4aa…f4e5backed Sabres31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b47…5286backed Hurricanes70c58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.417845.5%81 W · 97 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked Sabres31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Hurricanes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1525050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Hurricanes71c39.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4479956.1%448 W · 351 L-2.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes64c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa319…bfc1backed Hurricanes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Hurricanes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8516766.5%111 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.