Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2430a77ff563eaf16da7f08c16042c8c8196f9579b6f1e179e9727cca308dd6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 60c | 30,618$18,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,247.36 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 8,951$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 4,055$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.67 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 34c | 2,559$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.82 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 47c | 1,812$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.39 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 32c | 1,068$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.33 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 68c | 1,023$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…eb0dbacked Yes | 74c | 902.51$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 55c | 403.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +409.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 33c | 266.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 11c | 265.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 215$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 34c | 174.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 167.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes | 64c | 156.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 13c | 150.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.03 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1df4backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 132.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…c927backed Yes | 63c | 119.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 66c | 108.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…ded6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Yes | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa0…2016backed Yes | 76c | 60.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Yes | 34c | 58.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…67e8backed Yes | 75c | 50.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked No | 70c | 49.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 75c | 46.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 33c | 43.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 65c | 38.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53e…27f2backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567b…27d7backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…79fabacked Yes | 63c | 27.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac1…198bbacked Yes | 63c | 25.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 73c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…48fcbacked Yes | 63c | 16.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e74…9386backed Yes | 72c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.