Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd3f2be4b5971d57242f0d64078ad83128dd276cbdde27133697a93f28f53240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 60c | 36,330$21,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,531.91 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 12,629$7,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.53 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…257cbacked Yes | 41c | 12,589$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,285$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 937.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 917.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…8b73backed Yes | 66c | 857.6$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 48c | 697.79$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.45 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 71c | 560$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.6 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Yes | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 72c | 277.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 68c | 232.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Yes | 7c | 219.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…3fe6backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 61c | 81.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 71c | 50.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…e997backed Yes | 44c | 45.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…8ab3backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 29.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.