Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4280d842197c00f6d1580b3b6c753bf6db529585b011cb5334504269e1eef2b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 64c | 3,881$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.56 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 63c | 2,862$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.18 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 36c | 2,785$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 36c | 1,897$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.07 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 36c | 608$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.51 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 588$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 36c | 567.76$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 40c | 544.45$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 37c | 276$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 241.48$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 35c | 143.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 140.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 36c | 135.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 60c | 99.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 30.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Charlotte FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.