TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-10-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf679…edb3backed Yes40c2,947$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No60c2,006$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.450661.3%310 W · 196 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes70c1,585$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.265,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes73c497.94$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3463644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No32c357.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.211159.5%66 W · 45 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No49c293.97$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9722652.7%119 W · 107 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.565129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624a…287cbacked Yes39c41.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c3…f46ebacked No64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Yes78c28.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ec…eeb0backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa413…e002backed No64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.