TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4940…05cbbacked Over53c6,980$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,723.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under49c3,057$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.4238526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under53c2,100$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.846331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c2,034$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under51c2,000$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.1110042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under54c1,856$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.1120262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c1,703$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.6136850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over47c1,693$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c1,146$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8440343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c1,037$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,004$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.1676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c942.69$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.561,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c661.81$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.62,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c628.93$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.783,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over49c625.85$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.49829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under49c599.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.994936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Under52c575.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.33948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c518.11$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.251,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over44c476.8$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7922656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over49c409.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8919047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Over53c408.34$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.621442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842931%9 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f8d…a19bbacked Under59c369.3$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.465100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under33c360.07$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.9446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c354.4$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.052,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over66c343.17$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2819935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Over65c309.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over54c299.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.998736.8%32 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over57c252.51$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.142254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab69…3dadbacked Under51c218$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3e…0fe9backed Over49c217.11$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7620…360ebacked Over49c215.34$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b5…8034backed Under51c214$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over53c212.01$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1210958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under46c211.5$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2170750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91aa…e71abacked Under51c210$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c0…a443backed Over49c207.51$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6068…66f0backed Under51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74b…9089backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4096…ee40backed Over49c200.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Under72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561650%8 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+96.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over75c199.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d75…1af0backed Over47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b1…39fdbacked Over50c199.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0217…297fbacked Under51c199$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d40…2de1backed Over50c198.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeefe…5891backed Under50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7303…c3f6backed Over49c197.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f5…59b2backed Under50c197$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17b…6cf2backed Under51c197$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…d5e7backed Over49c195.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa45…4fa1backed Over49c194.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…ee30backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a2…78c6backed Under50c193.12$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf861…3063backed Over50c193.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a73…fe42backed Over50c192.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0704…66d4backed Under51c192$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over52c191.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fa…2f7dbacked Over49c191.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cab…2457backed Under51c188$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9da2…b091backed Under50c188$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over53c187.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3720156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…f437backed Under50c187$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf66…6304backed Over50c186.96$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd858…59bcbacked Over49c186.66$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over52c186.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5723749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa20…f02abacked Over50c185.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1e…c519backed Over49c185.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8568…64a1backed Under50c185$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd62…1574backed Under51c185$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7119…dfbebacked Under50c185$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…f1eebacked Over50c184.8$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f5…66c4backed Under51c184$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0f…3c95backed Over50c183.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5432…5828backed Over50c183.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22dd…f37bbacked Under50c181$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…edd6backed Over50c180.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x808d…ade8backed Under50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffbf…d68dbacked Over50c175.01$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2612…9316backed Under50c175$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805d…d778backed Under50c174.77$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820f…1e53backed Over50c174.77$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca7…7ca2backed Over50c174.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa46c…f1f6backed Over50c173.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83e…3ee7backed Under50c173$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684e…c316backed Over50c172.24$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19cd…69e9backed Under50c171$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf903…ef54backed Under50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c164.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.531,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over38c154.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.071643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over45c153.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over68c149.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9913451.5%69 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c144.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c144.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5128964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.