Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7f688fe4f1f572e04fb392485d59f12ef4a9abf81646b1b1336399e418b34ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,620$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 57c | 873.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.53 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 48c | 671.34$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.37 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 57c | 548.17$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 57c | 496.66$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.66 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 62c | 359.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.7 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 57c | 270.82$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 59c | 252.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 234$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 224.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 217.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 42c | 169.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 148.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 60c | 141.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 135.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 117.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 114.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 56c | 103.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…045dbacked Yes | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 45c | 49.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Yes | 57c | 39.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 37.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked No | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 48c | 29.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…d450backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…5dbdbacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…3a1bbacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2ea4backed Yes | 54c | 24.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6051…fdbfbacked Yes | 54c | 24.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…2376backed Yes | 54c | 23.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Yes | 47c | 23.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…a8b4backed No | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…470cbacked Yes | 54c | 22.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…eb00backed Yes | 54c | 21.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…8afdbacked Yes | 54c | 21.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…f2eabacked Yes | 54c | 19.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mexico vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.