Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e706737aa659a5fec5a1b37209e622122b7154d1006040119bed4585b0da686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 54c | 3,539$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.2 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Under | 48c | 1,190$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 50c | 625.66$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 488.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 48c | 444.09$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 443.24$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 51c | 327.42$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 241.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 50c | 240.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 49c | 202.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 52c | 190.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 48c | 132.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 52c | 113.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 62.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 54.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Over | 21c | 48.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 48c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 42.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 50c | 39.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 34.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 30.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…68cebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 50c | 28.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 54c | 26.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 25.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Under | 48c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 22.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. CD Tondela: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.