CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3498d36a270f51c997a0dde36c03ba2dde3d73f8a3b61e65fd4337ae99aab452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- bond1eof UNiTY esports, bond1e
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked bond1e | 47c | 6,103$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.96 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 3,313$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.3 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed bond1e | 39c | 846.03$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked bond1e | 47c | 696.53$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.4 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed bond1e | 52c | 657.27$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.72 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked UNiTY esports | 56c | 454.67$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed bond1e | 47c | 453.63$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed UNiTY esports | 29c | 431.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed UNiTY esports | 54c | 418.53$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked UNiTY esports | 64c | 409.15$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.86 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed bond1e | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked bond1e | 52c | 331.79$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.34 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 276.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…3545backed UNiTY esports | 30c | 265.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed bond1e | 39c | 253.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899d…bc53backed UNiTY esports | 8c | 233.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed bond1e | 47c | 170.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2da…836ebacked bond1e | 79c | 159.49$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed UNiTY esports | 56c | 145.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked UNiTY esports | 60c | 145.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UNiTY esports | 62c | 143.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked bond1e | 57c | 133.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 114$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNiTY esports | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked UNiTY esports | 60c | 106.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed bond1e | 42c | 101.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed bond1e | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked UNiTY esports | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…f932backed UNiTY esports | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed bond1e | 47c | 97.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…bfe0backed bond1e | 72c | 79.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…cc22backed UNiTY esports | 56c | 70.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked bond1e | 45c | 66.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed bond1e | 60c | 65.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed UNiTY esports | 47c | 64.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed bond1e | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 54.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed UNiTY esports | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed UNiTY esports | 56c | 45.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked bond1e | 39c | 35.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed bond1e | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked UNiTY esports | 54c | 33.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed bond1e | 33c | 32.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked UNiTY esports | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked bond1e | 60c | 30.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed bond1e | 53c | 27.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked UNiTY esports | 57c | 23.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked UNiTY esports | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs bond1e - Map 2 Winnerbond1e won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.