Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b9ead4e78ff448e50aa2f57ab7f827cfaa5ed0105be484772576a34c9cc2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac1e…4cf3backed Yes | 0c | 17,662$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 5c | 710$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 25c | 607.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 78c | 565.53$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 464$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 15c | 332.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 330.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…aac0backed Yes | 7c | 311.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 19c | 303.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 35c | 263.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 40c | 239.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 17c | 239.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 79c | 207.54$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 73c | 205.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked Yes | 23c | 199.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 196.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…55b9backed Yes | 13c | 163.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 153.78$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 15c | 149.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 148.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 23c | 146.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 146.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 69c | 140.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 74c | 131.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 14c | 113.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 24c | 112.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 21c | 109.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 19c | 106.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 16c | 105.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 27c | 102.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 75c | 101.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…9b40backed Yes | 27c | 101.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 33c | 99.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…24a5backed Yes | 20c | 97.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 30c | 92.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 17c | 88.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 23c | 86.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 80c | 86.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 79c | 85.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 85.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 84.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 23c | 83.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…c0f2backed Yes | 13c | 80.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 167 | 9%15 W · 152 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 17c | 79.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 23c | 78.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 74.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 23c | 71.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…bc77backed No | 78c | 68.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…95b7backed Yes | 39c | 60.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 17c | 59.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 30c | 56.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 19c | 54.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…5a06backed Yes | 19c | 54.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 77c | 53.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 51.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…734cbacked Yes | 38c | 49.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed No | 69c | 49.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 71c | 49.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 31c | 46.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 42.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 77c | 39.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 29c | 39.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…9e9ebacked No | 73c | 37.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 39 | 87.2%34 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed Yes | 30c | 35.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 30c | 34.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked No | 68c | 32.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 67c | 28.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…fc8ebacked No | 67c | 28.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 78c | 22.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 65c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb80…d18ebacked No | 79c | 22.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…9b20backed No | 66c | 22.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4750…bf47backed No | 70c | 22.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 80c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed No | 78c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 19.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…252fbacked No | 76c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 80c | 18.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 65c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6154…0404backed No | 66c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 68c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 65c | 17.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 80c | 16.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 77c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abc…9e55backed No | 75c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 71c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…8a4dbacked No | 76c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 13.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on April 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on April 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.