Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475c93726dd5733549b1b2076b0c5c4447f38197e05fc1fa68efafd5e9b0b30b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 541.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 66c | 486.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 73c | 479.31$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 36c | 426.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 51c | 367.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a50cbacked Yes | 27c | 356.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 214 | 36%77 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 19c | 310.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 64c | 310.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 36c | 288.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 9c | 269.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 258.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 225.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 61c | 215.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 35c | 192.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 10c | 184.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 40c | 177.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 28c | 170.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 161.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 15c | 148.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 64c | 147.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 146.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 62c | 140.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 136.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 29c | 136.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 29c | 134.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 38c | 129.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 38c | 122.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 21c | 115.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…55b9backed Yes | 43c | 110.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 63c | 107.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 71c | 106.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 104.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 65c | 101.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 35c | 99.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 60c | 97.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 21c | 95.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 35c | 94.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 38c | 94.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 13c | 90.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 28c | 89.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 76c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Yes | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 41c | 84.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 38c | 83.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 65c | 83.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 68c | 81.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…3d0fbacked Yes | 28c | 78.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 40c | 78.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 64c | 75.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…a655backed No | 66c | 74.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 70.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b9…b865backed Yes | 27c | 68.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…4bb2backed Yes | 19c | 66.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 38c | 63.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 70c | 63.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 37c | 62.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 58.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 68c | 57.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed No | 71c | 54.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 60c | 53.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 35c | 53.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 44c | 53.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 59c | 52.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 60c | 52.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…734cbacked Yes | 37c | 50.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…b45abacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…7ca0backed Yes | 39c | 47.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed No | 64c | 45.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 23c | 45.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…4d57backed No | 65c | 44.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 24c | 43.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 74c | 41.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 66c | 41.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 57c | 40.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…703dbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 38.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 70c | 38.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed Yes | 42c | 36.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 66c | 34.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 72c | 33.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 68c | 32.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…0866backed No | 68c | 31.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 40c | 31.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 62c | 30.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 73c | 29.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 66c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked Yes | 38c | 27.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked Yes | 42c | 25.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…8f6cbacked No | 63c | 24.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 77c | 23.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 65c | 22.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.