Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2197061c4f99cfd3f00eaf23537bb5495ef6ca5adbe1979543918d12264cee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,104 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 28c | 3,975$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,040$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 45c | 2,480$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 27c | 2,104$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.16 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 1,644$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.89 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 1,479$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.53 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,465$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.07 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 1,126$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.55 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 29c | 851.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.72 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 845.96$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 7c | 758.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 27c | 600$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 10c | 464.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 25c | 461$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.75 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 26c | 450$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…1d66backed Yes | 28c | 406.57$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +160.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 60c | 329.27$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.54 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 50c | 279.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 50c | 279.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 251.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…b5ebbacked Yes | 76c | 192.86$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 180$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 74c | 160.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 135.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 17c | 132.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 26c | 130.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked No | 20c | 125.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…d6cabacked Yes | 80c | 125.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Yes | 27c | 112.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 42c | 105.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 103.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 92.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ca…17f3backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed No | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Yes | 25c | 79.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 28c | 76.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 26c | 73.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 46.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 44.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…4861backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 31.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked No | 73c | 23.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9523…3b4ebacked Yes | 75c | 23.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 77c | 21.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 17.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-09?this page
- Will CD Tondela vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Tondela win on 2026-03-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.