TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Tondela win on 2026-03-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,499 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes6c22,746$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.547,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes0c6,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222727.8%63 W · 164 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes48c4,181$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c3,644$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.592,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes1c2,818$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.182,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No54c2,246$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.396446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes1c2,205$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.315,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c2,021$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.092,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No54c1,580$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.011060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+59.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No55c1,310$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.294353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c1,006$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47336647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b5…a549backed Yes22c996.38$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No52c880.52$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.654755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed No55c818.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c667.33$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.272,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c512.25$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.641,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d65…2d2bbacked Yes3c494.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes37c452$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7510827.8%30 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Yes39c422.25$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.232744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99cb…1afdbacked No54c359.86$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62af…73ffbacked No54c356.8$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6c…7b17backed No55c353.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fe…d542backed No55c352.17$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef28…f5aabacked Yes47c350.48$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0e…c39fbacked Yes47c350.34$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c48…6720backed Yes47c349.26$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9893…a43dbacked Yes47c348.77$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes45c348.18$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6843546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes45c344.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes45c304.54$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.041353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077f…ca20backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-76%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes45c269$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.055850%29 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes45c222.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2310846.3%50 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c4…5b56backed Yes47c186$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.442347.8%202 W · 221 L+1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes10c158.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.647450%37 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes22c150.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1343721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes46c148.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8328349.1%139 W · 144 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes48c128.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.529244.9%131 W · 161 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c123.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.641,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…3d18backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes46c108.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020647.6%98 W · 108 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed Yes47c106.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.511351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4567050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.92630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes46c94.36$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No54c89.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3940850.7%207 W · 201 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked No56c85.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcef…1896backed No54c83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1421755.3%120 W · 97 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes42c79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2311163.1%70 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes46c77.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8429052.4%152 W · 138 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed No55c72.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.795271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes27c67.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.321050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b6…8838backed No54c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Yes34c66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Yes36c66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.562661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.89160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.89359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.89159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247957%45 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No53c47.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.433253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked Yes46c46.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf07a…05eabacked Yes47c42.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No61c41.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0867348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No55c41.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.621553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c37.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc8…7684backed No55c36.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No55c36.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4312443.5%54 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd1…05abbacked No54c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes45c32.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.752035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes46c32.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e41…e7a9backed Yes46c30.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45463%34 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes46c28.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…17f9backed No55c27.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes46c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7964…37eebacked Yes46c23.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5d…ea41backed Yes46c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No55c22.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9310652.8%56 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No54c21.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.32161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.