Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32d163f161c0d4c97ed505b45007d2301c1e86285a7da4e37a15e4cdd566ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 71c | 476,548$336,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,505.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 30c | 229,319$68,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,002.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 30c | 85,557$25,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,497.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 68c | 35,080$23,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,240.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 30c | 29,776$8,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,984.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 29c | 28,600$8,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 27,572$8,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,810.98 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 13,019$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.88 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 31c | 12,884$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.95 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 29c | 12,676$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.06 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Yes | 65c | 12,231$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 30c | 11,257$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.35 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 10,409$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.51 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 30c | 7,683$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.38 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 7,174$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.11 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 31c | 5,638$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.87 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 3,702$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.74 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Yes | 70c | 3,616$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.03 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 34c | 3,124$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.11 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 31c | 2,746$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.72 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 68c | 2,643$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.76 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed No | 30c | 2,069$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 58c | 1,731$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.97 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 30c | 1,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 24c | 1,377$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.91 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 32c | 1,258$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.29 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 42c | 1,218$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.61 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 68c | 1,137$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.28 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 30c | 1,059$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.4 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 30c | 1,046$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 28c | 1,006$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 68c | 935.41$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 36c | 923$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Yes | 64c | 768.37$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 25c | 713.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.97 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 30c | 600$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 30c | 592$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 29c | 530.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -11.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 528.66$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 35c | 467.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 404.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 32c | 391$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 378$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 29c | 344$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Yes | 70c | 338.04$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 43c | 299.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 31c | 284.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 48c | 281.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 30c | 260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 30c | 260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 29c | 241.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 29c | 236$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked No | 29c | 215$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 47c | 214.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 29c | 207$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 198.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 78c | 180$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 31c | 179.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 31c | 166.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…7eaebacked No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 36c | 157.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 30c | 156$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 30c | 156$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…d10cbacked No | 30c | 149.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 58c | 133.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed No | 52c | 131.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 123.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 32c | 108$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 106.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 10c | 103$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 22c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed No | 30c | 98.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…3fdfbacked No | 32c | 91.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.