La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea4f3134a16f2993d9690e17a1fa1f69e19277803fc09da8f93eff193e26b7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 10c | 6,076$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 1,513$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.81 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 992.2$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 736$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 25c | 611.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Yes | 77c | 518.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 51c | 426$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 342.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 338.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.72 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 36c | 279.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 210.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 204.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…15c8backed Yes | 79c | 152.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 50c | 141.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 127.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 31c | 99.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 77c | 90.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 74c | 67.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 31c | 55.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 54.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…ba4bbacked Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 78c | 48.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 48.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…23f8backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 64c | 38.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 36.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 32c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…1279backed Yes | 38c | 33.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 41c | 28.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 25.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 20.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 14.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.