Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0ec18106ddead157c2a411ea8f6dc4e4224c737be26d4562ca88bd3b4ad07a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 5,278$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 42c | 2,686$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.73 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,628$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 48c | 2,538$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 58c | 1,297$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.96 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.94 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 15c | 832.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 57c | 790$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.3 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 380.43$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 357.03$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 299.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 43c | 256.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 42c | 249.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 23c | 175.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 132.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 57c | 126.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 115.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…14f7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…82c4backed Over | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…e0bfbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 57c | 82.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 41c | 74.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 55c | 64.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 26c | 51.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 37c | 45.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 42c | 44.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…c5c5backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 41c | 31.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 57c | 29.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 42c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 58c | 23.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 60c | 21.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.