Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe71f62028b783a7faed037aafebbf6e4d1bb45e9a2b9196ae733dc578123cb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Famalicãoof Sporting CP, FC Famalicão
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2379…bf16backed Sporting CP | 49c | 9,944$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Famalicão | 57c | 5,680$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC Famalicão | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Famalicão | 51c | 3,820$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.12 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed FC Famalicão | 52c | 3,570$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked FC Famalicão | 51c | 3,484$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Sporting CP | 49c | 2,897$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Sporting CP | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Sporting CP | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Famalicão | 67c | 848$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed FC Famalicão | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Sporting CP | 48c | 639$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Sporting CP | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…7034backed Sporting CP | 50c | 422$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Sporting CP | 26c | 385.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Sporting CP | 27c | 381.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Sporting CP | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Sporting CP | 33c | 347.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Sporting CP | 33c | 300.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Famalicão | 51c | 298.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.19 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Sporting CP | 34c | 291.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sporting CP | 46c | 277.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sporting CP | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Sporting CP | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sporting CP | 49c | 135$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…4326backed Sporting CP | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Sporting CP | 49c | 114.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Sporting CP | 46c | 109.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed FC Famalicão | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Sporting CP | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Sporting CP | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Sporting CP | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Famalicão | 51c | 89.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Sporting CP | 50c | 84.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Famalicão | 51c | 83.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Sporting CP | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FC Famalicão | 66c | 79.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…2530backed Sporting CP | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Sporting CP | 27c | 75.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…e0bfbacked FC Famalicão | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed FC Famalicão | 51c | 68.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Sporting CP | 36c | 64.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sporting CP | 43c | 62.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sporting CP | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sporting CP | 27c | 60.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Sporting CP | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Sporting CP | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Sporting CP | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Sporting CP | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Sporting CP | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Sporting CP | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Sporting CP | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Sporting CP | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Sporting CP | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Sporting CP | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Sporting CP | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Sporting CP | 33c | 48.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…82c4backed Sporting CP | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f691backed Sporting CP | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Sporting CP | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed FC Famalicão | 52c | 37.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Sporting CP | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…a205backed Sporting CP | 49c | 32.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sporting CP | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Sporting CP | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Sporting CP | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…ad3dbacked FC Famalicão | 52c | 29.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…baabbacked Sporting CP | 49c | 28.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…fe1bbacked Sporting CP | 49c | 28.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…f521backed FC Famalicão | 51c | 27.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Sporting CP | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Sporting CP | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Sporting CP | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Sporting CP | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Sporting CP | 50c | 23.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sporting CP | 45c | 22.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Sporting CP | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed FC Famalicão | 69c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.