Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb16c576405aecf12eab53e1f7745c666b392e3e713b775357f03ab5c22d9e6f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 1,518$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.26 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 35c | 1,144$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 563$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 7c | 480.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 470.39$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 204.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 13c | 105.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 34cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…4aa1backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 34c | 45.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 34c | 38.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 34c | 31.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 35c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 64c | 19.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 66c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5this page
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)FC Famalicão won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.