Tennis · resolved market
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Xinyu Wang vs Manon Leonard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f39c32de5c1e831b121fbbdf169b9e3ae2c3ad495265680fa53ccc6dfeda6db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinyu Wangof Xinyu Wang, Manon Leonard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Manon Leonard | 19c | 10,008$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.73 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinyu Wang | 69c | 7,473$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Manon Leonard | 25c | 2,537$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.87 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Manon Leonard | 22c | 1,589$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.13 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Xinyu Wang | 69c | 986.81$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Xinyu Wang | 77c | 982.33$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.29 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Manon Leonard | 45c | 856.34$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.85 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Manon Leonard | 28c | 855.32$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Manon Leonard | 46c | 832.7$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.16 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Xinyu Wang | 65c | 722.62$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.56 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Manon Leonard | 12c | 708.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manon Leonard | 17c | 496.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Xinyu Wang | 73c | 490.06$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Manon Leonard | 22c | 428.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Xinyu Wang | 67c | 401.35$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.38 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Manon Leonard | 22c | 373.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Xinyu Wang | 72c | 256.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Manon Leonard | 6c | 251.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xinyu Wang | 77c | 223.44$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Xinyu Wang | 76c | 170.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Xinyu Wang | 62c | 159.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xinyu Wang | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Manon Leonard | 9c | 149.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Manon Leonard | 9c | 149.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Xinyu Wang | 78c | 137.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Xinyu Wang | 75c | 119.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Xinyu Wang | 66c | 116.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Manon Leonard | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Xinyu Wang | 71c | 99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Manon Leonard | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…9252backed Manon Leonard | 11c | 94.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Xinyu Wang | 78c | 91.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Xinyu Wang | 74c | 89.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Manon Leonard | 28c | 85.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Manon Leonard | 46c | 80.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Xinyu Wang | 75c | 72.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Xinyu Wang | 65c | 71.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Xinyu Wang | 72c | 71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Xinyu Wang | 70c | 69.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Xinyu Wang | 69c | 64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 819 | 56.9%466 W · 353 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Xinyu Wang | 63c | 58.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manon Leonard | 35c | 57.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manon Leonard | 36c | 54.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Xinyu Wang | 78c | 45.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Xinyu Wang | 78c | 45.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Xinyu Wang | 78c | 45.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Xinyu Wang | 78c | 45.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Xinyu Wang | 78c | 45.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Xinyu Wang | 78c | 45.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…6834backed Manon Leonard | 30c | 45.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Manon Leonard | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Xinyu Wang | 57c | 41.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Xinyu Wang | 80c | 38.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Xinyu Wang | 68c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Xinyu Wang | 74c | 34.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Manon Leonard | 38c | 33.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Xinyu Wang | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Manon Leonard | 42c | 29.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…d49abacked Xinyu Wang | 67c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Xinyu Wang | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 306 | 53.3%163 W · 143 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Manon Leonard | 41c | 26.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Xinyu Wang | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Xinyu Wang | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Xinyu Wang | 63c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.