CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aeac0e719273fa5fbda4d1419f9a92762d79394e3564d2fae6a3e2e1ea43aa3

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: HOTUof GamerLegion, HOTU
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,812 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed GamerLegion	32c	3,989$1,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.7	610	47.7%291 W · 319 L	-12.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed HOTU	66c	3,030$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.3	190	55.8%106 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed HOTU	65c	3,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.99	786	39.4%310 W · 476 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed GamerLegion	33c	2,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.98	158	38%60 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.99	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed HOTU	67c	1,317$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.87	1,017	53.4%543 W · 474 L	+65.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked HOTU	70c	1,268$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.41	470	47.4%223 W · 247 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfca7…5e0abacked GamerLegion	35c	1,265$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.75	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed GamerLegion	35c	1,180$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed HOTU	67c	1,094$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.07	500	54.4%272 W · 228 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked GamerLegion	34c	1,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	246	46.7%115 W · 131 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked HOTU	66c	798.51$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.51	191	56.5%108 W · 83 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed HOTU	70c	714.29$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.29	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed GamerLegion	34c	457.69$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.76	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked HOTU	68c	414.51$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.64	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked HOTU	66c	414.12$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.8	277	53.8%149 W · 128 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked HOTU	68c	400$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	1,768	59.2%1,047 W · 721 L	+105.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed HOTU	69c	393.97$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.07	111	55%61 W · 50 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked HOTU	68c	387$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.84	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked HOTU	67c	298.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.51	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed GamerLegion	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed HOTU	66c	262.58$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	350	54.6%191 W · 159 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GamerLegion	36c	240.16$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.91	2,599	47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L	-30.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked GamerLegion	33c	208.09$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.67	447	47.2%211 W · 236 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed HOTU	67c	201.81$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.6	224	60.7%136 W · 88 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3d…9488backed HOTU	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed GamerLegion	35c	195.09$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.28	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed HOTU	65c	191.29$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.95	716	45.9%329 W · 387 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed GamerLegion	33c	155$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.15	374	53.2%199 W · 175 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed GamerLegion	33c	152$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+12.0wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed GamerLegion	35c	147.09$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.94	191	46.6%89 W · 102 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked GamerLegion	33c	136.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	303	39.3%119 W · 184 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked GamerLegion	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	220	37.3%82 W · 138 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed GamerLegion	35c	119.84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.94	404	39.6%160 W · 244 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked HOTU	67c	105.97$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.97	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked HOTU	63c	100.16$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.06	278	38.1%106 W · 172 L	-16.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed GamerLegion	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed GamerLegion	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed GamerLegion	33c	99.09$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.74	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+11.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked GamerLegion	33c	88.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.58	200	45%90 W · 110 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8234…bfd0backed GamerLegion	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked GamerLegion	35c	88.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.85	485	48.7%236 W · 249 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked GamerLegion	35c	85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.75	482	42.1%203 W · 279 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…a44dbacked HOTU	67c	74.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.63	105	57.1%60 W · 45 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed GamerLegion	34c	73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	239	49%117 W · 122 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed HOTU	66c	73$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.82	602	48.7%293 W · 309 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa03e…727abacked HOTU	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed GamerLegion	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-4.9wins	-0.29per pick	58cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked HOTU	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	246	48.8%120 W · 126 L	+17.4wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed GamerLegion	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	347	42.9%149 W · 198 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed HOTU	66c	46.77$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	982	48.3%474 W · 508 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked HOTU	67c	44.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	103	55.3%57 W · 46 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed GamerLegion	34c	36.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-13.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed HOTU	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	237	62.9%149 W · 88 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf06…8758backed HOTU	67c	28.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	89	73%65 W · 24 L	+14.9wins	+0.17per pick	56cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed HOTU	66c	18.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.18	673	50.1%337 W · 336 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)this page
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierHOTU won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs HOTU (+3.5)HOTU won
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)HOTU won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event