CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x150ae29e97208a6102e72684fcc48595dcd7793ac8a2f25f41d64b2425581467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Honvédof Honvéd, Revise
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6445…5213backed Revise | 41c | 815.17$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Revise | 53c | 522.26$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Honvéd | 55c | 451.39$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Honvéd | 43c | 230.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Honvéd | 69c | 211.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed Honvéd | 53c | 209.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Revise | 11c | 195.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…570ebacked Revise | 6c | 183.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Revise | 34c | 162.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Revise | 30c | 151.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6b32backed Revise | 44c | 151.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Honvéd | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Revise | 38c | 92.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Honvéd | 70c | 86.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Revise | 19c | 81.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Honvéd | 66c | 76.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed Honvéd | 66c | 76.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Honvéd | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Revise | 16c | 62.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed Revise | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf4…863ebacked Honvéd | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…476ebacked Honvéd | 57c | 45.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed Honvéd | 68c | 44.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 51 | 78.4%40 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…7a58backed Honvéd | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Revise | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Revise | 44c | 39.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Revise | 51c | 39.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Revise | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Honvéd | 55c | 28.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Honvéd | 40c | 26.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Honvéd | 61c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Honvéd | 57c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Revise (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Revise - Map 2 WinnerHonvéd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.