CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6da7b94a445813de8ac45787bd4d3e9808d86d737a3006ebf4dcbb39d1de827
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexarof Subtop De France, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4299…10ccbacked Vexar | 52c | 3,718$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a1e5backed Subtop De France | 47c | 3,538$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5b…d1ddbacked Subtop De France | 44c | 2,443$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.59 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Vexar | 61c | 1,595$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.91 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Subtop De France | 25c | 1,450$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.24 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed Subtop De France | 35c | 1,292$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.64 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked Vexar | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed Vexar | 66c | 866.2$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed Vexar | 58c | 653.13$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Vexar | 46c | 580.69$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Subtop De France | 51c | 534.4$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vexar | 49c | 512$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Subtop De France | 50c | 494.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Subtop De France | 35c | 494.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.67 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Vexar | 77c | 480.11$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Subtop De France | 41c | 476.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed Subtop De France | 44c | 432.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0538…85c4backed Subtop De France | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Subtop De France | 48c | 376.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Vexar | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Subtop De France | 31c | 299.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Subtop De France | 38c | 279.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Subtop De France | 40c | 247.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Subtop De France | 42c | 240$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Vexar | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Subtop De France | 33c | 190.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Subtop De France | 42c | 172$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad21…ec73backed Vexar | 63c | 159.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed Vexar | 58c | 143.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Vexar | 63c | 128.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Subtop De France | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Vexar | 58c | 120.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vexar | 59c | 117.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Vexar | 55c | 116.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Vexar | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Vexar | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Subtop De France | 32c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Subtop De France | 55c | 83.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Vexar | 47c | 73.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Vexar | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked Vexar | 56c | 71.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Subtop De France | 31c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Subtop De France | 25c | 60.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vexar | 58c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Vexar | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Subtop De France | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Subtop De France | 60c | 55.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Subtop De France | 38c | 52.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Subtop De France | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f2…0bc1backed Subtop De France | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Vexar | 61c | 46.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Subtop De France | 44c | 42.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Subtop De France | 52c | 39.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Vexar | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Vexar | 65c | 36.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Vexar | 56c | 36.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Vexar | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Subtop De France | 37c | 32.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Subtop De France | 52c | 29.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Vexar | 55c | 28.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Vexar | 69c | 28.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…1071backed Vexar | 70c | 27.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed Vexar | 70c | 27.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Vexar | 71c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Vexar | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…6578backed Subtop De France | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vexar | 64c | 25.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Subtop De France | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vexar | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Vexar | 61c | 18.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Vexar - Map 2 WinnerVexar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.