CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9993113b46852f4394ff481d0eff5771e7592d3041d9cb0906c22f12272c242e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof Noir Verse, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cc8…d632backed mellren | 51c | 8,230$4,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.12 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…1b8abacked Noir Verse | 47c | 7,628$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…523dbacked mellren | 47c | 3,590$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.64 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Noir Verse | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked mellren | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed mellren | 49c | 1,726$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.55 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed mellren | 55c | 1,396$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.19 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Noir Verse | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed Noir Verse | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked mellren | 47c | 789.03$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Noir Verse | 51c | 674$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.97 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed Noir Verse | 42c | 650$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed mellren | 55c | 647.1$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.82 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Noir Verse | 50c | 617.53$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Noir Verse | 52c | 604$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.28 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Noir Verse | 61c | 600.99$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…9bf0backed Noir Verse | 2c | 600.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed mellren | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Noir Verse | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked mellren | 50c | 466.21$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Noir Verse | 49c | 449.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Noir Verse | 50c | 434.39$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Noir Verse | 50c | 432.91$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.86 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed mellren | 47c | 422.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.87 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked Noir Verse | 53c | 375.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…1a8cbacked Noir Verse | 56c | 354$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Noir Verse | 51c | 346.56$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed mellren | 44c | 341.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Noir Verse | 62c | 329.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Noir Verse | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Noir Verse | 48c | 307.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Noir Verse | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab0…7d89backed Noir Verse | 54c | 298.87$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Noir Verse | 51c | 289.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed mellren | 45c | 287.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 43c | 280.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked mellren | 74c | 263.56$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked Noir Verse | 48c | 260$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked mellren | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed mellren | 49c | 246.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed mellren | 54c | 240$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Noir Verse | 53c | 227.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked mellren | 47c | 220.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed mellren | 48c | 217.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed mellren | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked mellren | 48c | 210.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Noir Verse | 47c | 204.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Noir Verse | 51c | 203$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed Noir Verse | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked mellren | 71c | 199.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed mellren | 55c | 186.31$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Noir Verse | 35c | 177.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed mellren | 55c | 174.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked mellren | 50c | 165.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Noir Verse | 50c | 164.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed mellren | 51c | 160.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Noir Verse | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Noir Verse | 66c | 146.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked mellren | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked mellren | 49c | 140.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Noir Verse | 51c | 131.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Noir Verse | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed Noir Verse | 55c | 118.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed mellren | 49c | 118.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Noir Verse | 40c | 118.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Noir Verse | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed mellren | 48c | 116.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed mellren | 49c | 111.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed mellren | 42c | 106.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked mellren | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed mellren | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Noir Verse | 51c | 92.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…acb4backed Noir Verse | 55c | 91.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Noir Verse | 49c | 89.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Noir Verse | 44c | 89.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Noir Verse | 52c | 85.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…0283backed Noir Verse | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed Noir Verse | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noir Verse | 40c | 76.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Noir Verse | 50c | 76.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked mellren | 51c | 74.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked mellren | 50c | 72.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked mellren | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked mellren | 54c | 67.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed mellren | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed mellren | 78c | 64.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3950…0d49backed mellren | 29c | 62.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +301.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed mellren | 49c | 62.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed mellren | 37c | 58.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed mellren | 61c | 57.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed mellren | 28c | 53.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed mellren | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…db89backed mellren | 28c | 52.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed mellren | 51c | 51.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…81a5backed mellren | 29c | 50.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed mellren | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Noir Verse | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed mellren | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Noir Verse | 53c | 45.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked mellren | 29c | 44.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +155%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs mellren - Map 1 Winnermellren won
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs mellren - Map 2 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.