Tennis · resolved market
Phoenix: Ethan Quinn vs Michael Mmoh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4324f8af9ed4960d46d9bcdeff75164cda82c9119fc4b0e16533f19e2f20f167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ethan Quinnof Ethan Quinn, Michael Mmoh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michael Mmoh | 4c | 13,809$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.98 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Michael Mmoh | 32c | 2,951$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.05 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michael Mmoh | 1c | 1,988$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Ethan Quinn | 70c | 1,939$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.79 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Ethan Quinn | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michael Mmoh | 20c | 1,294$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ethan Quinn | 68c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.49 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Michael Mmoh | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ethan Quinn | 69c | 612.36$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Michael Mmoh | 32c | 597.47$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Michael Mmoh | 30c | 469.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ethan Quinn | 68c | 457.01$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Michael Mmoh | 16c | 448.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ethan Quinn | 68c | 434$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Michael Mmoh | 30c | 384.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Michael Mmoh | 30c | 254$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Michael Mmoh | 32c | 222.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Michael Mmoh | 23c | 214.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Mmoh | 21c | 208.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Ethan Quinn | 69c | 180.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Michael Mmoh | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Michael Mmoh | 30c | 157$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Michael Mmoh | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Michael Mmoh | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Ethan Quinn | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ethan Quinn | 68c | 146.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Michael Mmoh | 34c | 146.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Ethan Quinn | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Michael Mmoh | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Michael Mmoh | 16c | 126.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Michael Mmoh | 10c | 114.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Michael Mmoh | 25c | 109.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Michael Mmoh | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Michael Mmoh | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Michael Mmoh | 29c | 95.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ethan Quinn | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Ethan Quinn | 66c | 86.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michael Mmoh | 34c | 80.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ethan Quinn | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ethan Quinn | 68c | 79.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Michael Mmoh | 31c | 73.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Michael Mmoh | 23c | 71.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Michael Mmoh | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Michael Mmoh | 25c | 54.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ethan Quinn | 68c | 53.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Ethan Quinn | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michael Mmoh | 30c | 41.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Michael Mmoh | 30c | 36.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Ethan Quinn | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ethan Quinn | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix: Ethan Quinn vs Michael Mmohthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs MmohQuinn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.