Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: EVOPLAY vs Bitfix Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e527e841ce8d3e9f9ea1e8f2310fd32dd591fa392c853cac06456799f5930b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EVOPLAYof EVOPLAY, Bitfix Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2837…39d8backed Bitfix Gaming | 51c | 1,076$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed EVOPLAY | 67c | 1,062$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041d…047ebacked EVOPLAY | 36c | 783.52$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Bitfix Gaming | 28c | 758.27$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked EVOPLAY | 52c | 665.52$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.44 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Bitfix Gaming | 62c | 616.9$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bitfix Gaming | 68c | 599.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Bitfix Gaming | 44c | 266.22$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.93 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed EVOPLAY | 57c | 262.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bitfix Gaming | 5c | 238.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…6ee7backed EVOPLAY | 33c | 223.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked EVOPLAY | 33c | 214.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Bitfix Gaming | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bitfix Gaming | 34c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Bitfix Gaming | 42c | 97.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Bitfix Gaming | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Bitfix Gaming | 48c | 88.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Bitfix Gaming | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Bitfix Gaming | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Bitfix Gaming | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Bitfix Gaming | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…73e7backed EVOPLAY | 39c | 65.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Bitfix Gaming | 52c | 32.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Bitfix Gaming | 51c | 26.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Bitfix Gaming | 51c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed EVOPLAY | 62c | 24.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…fc51backed EVOPLAY | 74c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: EVOPLAY vs Bitfix Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: EVOPLAY vs Bitfix Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group BBitfix Gaming won
- Valorant: EVOPLAY vs Bitfix Gaming - Map 2 WinnerBitfix Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.